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Championship Opening Weekend Betting Insights

Analyzing the opening weekend of the Championship reveals critical betting angles, particularly regarding Wolves and newly-promoted teams.

The 2026/27 Sky Bet EFL season kicks off with every Championship, League One, and League Two game available for viewing, providing bettors with ample opportunities. Wolves, positioned as second favorites for the Championship title at 5/1, come into the season with a concerning trend of poor performance after relegation. Historical data shows that teams entering the Championship with 25 points or fewer in the Premier League have a dismal record, winning only 30% of their first five matches. This raises questions about the 1/2 market odds on Wolves, suggesting a potentially inflated implied probability of 66% that may not accurately reflect their current form.

In contrast, Blackburn's new manager Tony Mowbray has a track record of limiting goals against, with his previous teams averaging only 1.1 expected goals conceded per 90 minutes. This context supports a bet on under 2.5 goals at Evens, considering the historical average of 2.1 goals per game in similar matchups. Meanwhile, newly-promoted teams like Bolton historically begin the season with strong momentum, making their odds at 5/4 appealing for backers. Millwall’s solid third-place finish last season, driven by effective point accumulation and tactical flexibility under Alex Neil, positions them well for an away win at 17/10 against Bristol City, who are undergoing significant changes.

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